How to Be a Better Futurist, and Why

by joeflower on May 25, 2016

You can hone your crystal ball–gazing skills to better forecast healthcare trends. The best forecasters read widely about all kinds of developments, even about trends that have nothing to do with their fields of expertise. You need to become a better futurist. You need to up your game at least to “prosumer” level. Why? Because […]

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Are you ready? Here it is: We don’t know. You don’t know. Nobody knows. In fact, Trump doesn’t know. And this is not a criticism, at least not exactly. It’s more an observation of his style, of what makes Trump tick. A mad-for-Bernie friend, just yesterday, said to me, about Trump: “Well at least he’s […]

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It was the Mother of unintended consequences. By the time of the 2016 elections, health plans, hospitals and health systems had squeezed and consolidated and trimmed and cut costs under the gun of lower Medicare reimbursements and the new rules of Obamacare — but mostly they had adapted. Most of them had survived. On November […]

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4-Dimensional Strategy: How to Build Your Own Situation Room

January 20, 2016
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The analysis now required is not something all that new and strange, but it seems to be new to many of us in health care because it wasn’t necessary when things were more stable and expectable. What we need is an enhanced version of a revenue-based strategy analysis common in other industries. Let’s call it the 4-Dimensional Strategy Template.

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“Obamacare is Failing,” According to Industry Expert C. Little

November 25, 2015
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“See? Obamacare is failing!” according to industry expert C. Little, citing Wolf Report 712A just filed by Boy W. Cried. But before we perform the Last Rites over Obamacare, perhaps we should think for a moment about the hit ratio of the first 711 Wolf Reports from the young Mr. Cried and ask a few questions.

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“Winning” by Defeating the Triple Aim

November 16, 2015
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Maintaining market dominance is actually a fragile strategy based on a single scenario and a monochromatic set of assumptions about the future. If your entire business structure depends on keeping your prices a high secret, and not exposed to real competition on price and quality, you are on the crumbling edge of a cliff as the seas advance.

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Does prevention save money? __ Yes __ No

August 6, 2015

Or…it’s complicated. The New York Times today published a story titled, “No, Giving More People Health Insurance Doesn’t Save Money.” A piece of the argument is, as the author Margo Sanger-Katz puts it, “Almost all preventive health care costs more than it saves.” What do you think? What’s the evidence? Leave aside, for the moment, the “big […]

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What Company Will You Keep? Strategy In the New Era

July 14, 2015
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In an era of complex change in healthcare, how do you plan? Obviously, you have to. Obviously, you can’t. Let’s step through it: the shape of the complexity we are dealing with, how the process must change to deal with it, and what kind of mind we need for this new thinking.

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How We Build Healthy Cities: Talking with Dr. Len Duhl, Pioneer of Population Health Management

June 18, 2015
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The Change-Master Series: Deep Dives Into the Essence of Change-Making and Leadership by Joe Flower Twenty years ago we talked in his cramped, book-lined, ex-carport study with the laden plum tree bowing its fruit over the garden gate outside. What Dr. Len Duhl had to say then is, if anything, more true today than it […]

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Obamacare Rates Set To Spike? Um…

June 11, 2015
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So it’s all over the news space and the shrieking blogosphere, with headlines like, “Obamacare Rates To Spike Up To 51%,” “Obamacare Hell…” and “Obamacare Inflationary Deluge…” And online friends are commenting about “Obamacare premiums set to rise next year as much as 51% in some states…” Hey, hey, hey. No need to panic. “Set […]

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